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Research Article

EEO. 2021; 20(4): 1413-1420


Fractal Approach and Evaluation of Mathematical Model of Covid19 in Tamil Nadu

G. JAGAN KUMAR, G. JAYALALITHA.




Abstract

The Epidemic of the newest Coronavirus infection broke get in December 2019 in Wuhan city, Hubei province and has spread across the world to 97 countries all over the world. The aim of this work is evaluate COVID19 in tamilnadu region based on Fractal Dimension of confirmed cases in March to October. Its use two Mathematical model to compare the method of estimating and predicting the growth of the pandemic: The Logistic growth model and Gompertz growth model. The investigation was carried out using data on cases of infection and confirmed death to analysis the accuracy model. To verify the consistency of the templates its use RAMSE and R2. For both model (R2> 0.99), the experimental findings have encouraging modification errors. This model offers a simple reliable framework for tracking the growth of pandemics that can be helpful to health system.

Key words: COVID-19, Fractal Dimension, Gompertz model, Hurst value, Mathematical models.






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