ANAYSIS OF IMPACTS OF A SIX FACTOR MODEL CASE ON EIB STOCK PRICE IN COMMERCIAL BANKING INDUSTRY IN VIETNAM -- AND ROLES OF IT SECURITY AND RISK MANAGEMENT
During Covid 19 we need to recognize role of risk management including IT security and financial risk management. Risk can reflex in Fluctuation of stock price in commercial banks in developing countries such as Vietnam, which will reflect the business health of bank system and the whole economy. Good business management requires us to consider the impacts of multi macro factors on stock price, and it contributes to promoting business plan and economic policies for economic growth and stabilizing macroeconomic factors. By data collection method through statistics, analysis, synthesis, comparison, quantitative analysis to generate qualitative comments and discussion; using econometric method to perform regression equation and evaluate quantitative results, the article analyzed and evaluated the impacts of six (6) macroeconomic factors on stock price of a joint stock commercial bank, Eximbank (EIB) in Vietnam in the period of 2014-2019, both positive and negative sides. The results of quantitative research, in a seven factor model, show that the increase in Risk free rate has a significant effect on increasing EIB stock price with the highest impact coefficient, the second is decreasing CPI and lending rate. This research finding and recommended policy also can be used as reference in policy for commercial bank system in many developing countries. We also recommend some plans to deal with risk management and IT security in this industry.
Key words: bank stock price; GDP growth; inflationary; risk free rate; market interest rate
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